Analytics
Resolved Lightning on 13 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Lightning at 78%. The Lightning side opened at 50% on 7 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2025 to 13 Jan 2025, the highest close was 78% on 13 Jan 2025 and the lowest 50% on 7 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 78% on 13 Jan 2025. $25.26K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Lightning price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 7 Jan 2025 – 13 Jan 2025, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Lightning price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2025 | 50.0% |
| 13 Jan 2025 | 78.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RFKJRMUSKTRUMP2024 | Penguins | 113.46 |
| bschultz | Penguins | 34.52 |
| wilkersonbob | Penguins | 26.26 |
| YangM | Lightning | 3.51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 12 at 5:00PM ET: If the Tampa Bay Lightning win, the market will resolve to “Lightning”. If the Pittsburgh Penguins win, the market will resolve to “Penguins”. If the game is not completed by January 19, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tb-pit-2025-01-12
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| rora-491 | Penguins | 2.44 |
| jgkfhxu | Penguins | 2.33 |
| kristinbailey | Penguins | 0.03 |
| oscar85 | Lightning | 0.02 |
| trevor06 | Lightning | 0.02 |
| eddie30 | Penguins | 0.02 |
