Analytics
Resolved Senators on 4 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Senators at 61.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 31 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 31 Mar 2025 to 4 Apr 2025, the highest close was 55% on 2 Apr 2025 and the lowest 38.5% on 4 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 38.5% on 4 Apr 2025. $85.01K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 31 Mar 2025 – 4 Apr 2025, chart shows 35%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Mar 2025 | 49.5% |
| 4 Apr 2025 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dennisnewton | Lightning | 111 |
| Usernombre | Lightning | 100 |
| alison66 | Lightning | 93 |
| nahyan | Lightning | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 3 at 7:00PM ET: If the Tampa Bay Lightning win, the market will resolve to “Lightning”. If the Ottawa Senators win, the market will resolve to “Senators”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tb-ott-2025-04-03
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| enher | Lightning | 5 |
| dd9527-473 | Lightning | 0.01 |
