Analytics
Resolved Lightning on 2 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lightning at 49.5%. Yes opened at 53.5% on 30 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 30 Apr 2026 to 2 May 2026, the highest close was 53.5% on 30 Apr 2026 and the lowest 50.5% on 1 May 2026. $890.09K traded over the market's life.
408 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 2:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 30 Apr 2026 – 2 May 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2026 | 53.5% |
| 2 May 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| weflyhigh | Canadiens | 93.69K |
| Dishonest-Bloom | Canadiens | 90.26K |
| JuicySlots | Canadiens | 90K |
| stackingsats | Canadiens | 48.12K |
| 0xD3D | Canadiens | 32.21K |
| BoggsFromShawshank | Canadiens | 14.63K |
| roldy | Canadiens | 13.69K |
| trumpnogo | Canadiens | 12.2K |
| Banklord | Canadiens | 10K |
| RoCash7 | Canadiens | 9.93K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 1 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tb-mon-2026-05-01
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