Analytics
Resolved Lightning on 21 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lightning at 50.5%. The Lightning side opened at 51.5% on 24 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 24 Sep 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, the highest close was 53% on 7 Oct 2026 and the lowest 47.5% on 19 Oct 2026. $221.91K traded over the market's life.
101 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 5:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Lightning price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 24 Sep 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Lightning price |
|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | 51.5% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Golden Knights | 97.58K |
| AnonymousUsername | Golden Knights | 6.17K |
| Babooou | Golden Knights | 6K |
| geraldo777 | Golden Knights |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 20 at 10:30PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tb-las-2026-10-20
New to prediction markets?
| 5.8K |
| RN1 | Golden Knights | 3.06K |
| ToyTrojan | Golden Knights | 2.02K |
| 0x4f2 | Golden Knights | 2K |
| darkumbreon88 | Golden Knights | 1.39K |
| cocococococo | Golden Knights | 1.2K |
| Karetha | Golden Knights | 1.05K |
