
Resolved Lightning on 27 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lightning at 31%. The Lightning side opened at 54.5% on 31 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 31 Aug 2026 to 27 Sep 2026, the highest close was 55% on 24 Sep 2026 and the lowest 31% on 27 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 31% on 27 Sep 2026. $13.05K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 28, 1:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Lightning price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 31 Aug 2026 – 27 Sep 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Lightning price |
|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2026 | 54.5% |
| 27 Sep 2026 | 31.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for September 26 at 6:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Panthers win, the market will resolve to "Panthers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tb-fla-2026-09-26
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| UpTheBlues | Panthers | 40 |
| lpcapital1 | Panthers | 35.61 |
| foreverstoked | Panthers | 24.84 |
| pxxp | Panthers | 21.44 |