Analytics
Resolved Lightning on 26 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Lightning at 44.5%. The Lightning side opened at 50% on 21 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 21 Apr 2025 to 26 Apr 2025, the highest close was 50% on 21 Apr 2025 and the lowest 36% on 24 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 36% on 24 Apr 2025. $212.74K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Lightning price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 21 Apr 2025 – 26 Apr 2025, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Lightning price |
|---|---|
| 21 Apr 2025 | 50.0% |
| 26 Apr 2025 | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| elPolloLoco | Panthers | 3.18K |
| MelanieZoe | Panthers | 2K |
| Wobbly-Poem | Panthers | 1.55K |
| Usernombre | Panthers | 757.53 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 26 at 1:00PM ET: If the Tampa Bay Lightning win, the market will resolve to “Lightning”. If the Florida Panthers win, the market will resolve to “Panthers”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tb-fla-2025-04-26
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Viseju | Panthers | 90.63 |
| Far-Off-Fleece | Panthers | 47.07 |
| ioioioi | Panthers | 17.86 |
| kamlot | Lightning | 0.02 |
| Bold Sphinx 34FE | Panthers | 0.02 |
| tamastakacs | Panthers | 0.01 |
