Analytics
Resolved Red Wings on 18 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Red Wings at 65%. The Lightning side opened at 50% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 59% on 17 Oct 2025 and the low 35% on 18 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 35% on 18 Oct 2025. $420.57K traded over the market's life.
451 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Lightning price, Polymarket CLOB · 11 points · 8 Oct 2025 – 18 Oct 2025 · axis zoomed to 30%–70%
| Observed | Lightning price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 18 Oct 2025 | 35.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sasha8 | Lightning | 25K |
| ajNV8UJoe4n62W498cex | Lightning | 7.76K |
| petcontrol | Lightning | 5.02K |
| Neon Pioneer F0CA | Lightning | 4.48K |
| KFCUFC | Lightning | 1.75K |
| piemcd | Lightning | 1.69K |
| GGle | Lightning | 1.56K |
| towuk | Lightning | 1.5K |
| rodshylt | Lightning | 1.05K |
| Hasty-Axis | Lightning | 1K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tb-det-2025-10-17
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