Analytics
The Lightning side is at 47.5%, up 3 points from 44.5% when the market opened on 27 Sep 2026.
Across the 26 daily closes on record from 27 Sep 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 47.5% on 22 Oct 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 7 Oct 2026. A week before that last close the Lightning side was at 41.5%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 46.5% on 9 Oct 2026.
It is one of 6 markets under “Lightning vs. Avalanche”.
$3.67K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.68K since listing. The order book holds $28.86K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Lightning position is Lexington with 3.2K shares; the largest Avalanche position is cocococococo with 2.2K. Ten wallets hold 98.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 24 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 3:58 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Lightning price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 27 Sep 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–50%
| Observed | Lightning price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | 44.5% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 47.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lexington | Lightning | 3.24K |
| cocococococo | Avalanche | 2.23K |
| 38791873984189 | Avalanche | 600 |
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 23 at 9:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tb-col-2026-10-23
| sl69 | Lightning | 415.75 |
| Berniquez | Avalanche | 399.99 |
| Pan9X | Avalanche | 278 |
| fizzwont | Avalanche | 93.45 |
| Miami222 | Lightning | 45.05 |
| yannitrades | Avalanche | 40 |
| Calmaestonks | Avalanche | 28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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