Analytics
Resolved Hurricanes on 12 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Hurricanes at 72%. The Lightning side opened at 45.5% on 11 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2025 to 12 Mar 2025, the highest close was 45.5% on 11 Mar 2025 and the lowest 28% on 12 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 28% on 12 Mar 2025. $52.4K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Lightning price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 11 Mar 2025 – 12 Mar 2025, chart shows 20%–50%
| Observed | Lightning price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2025 | 45.5% |
| 12 Mar 2025 | 28.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| St-Qc | Lightning | 487 |
| Medical-Trip | Lightning | 199.54 |
| Usernombre | Lightning | 147.56 |
| Bright Signal 4FB9 | Lightning | 2.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 11 at 7:30PM ET: If the Tampa Bay Lightning win, the market will resolve to “Lightning”. If the Carolina Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to “Hurricanes”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tb-car-2025-03-11
New to prediction markets?
| JayChou60 | Hurricanes | 0.04 |
| kamlot | Lightning | 0.01 |
