Analytics
Resolved Ducks on 6 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Ducks at 37.5%. The Lightning side opened at 52% on 31 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 64.5% on 5 Jan 2025 and the low 51% on 2 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 64.5% on 5 Jan 2025. $47.72K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Lightning price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 31 Dec 2024 – 6 Jan 2025 · axis zoomed to 45%–70%
| Observed | Lightning price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2024 | 52.0% |
| 6 Jan 2025 | 62.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| St-Qc | Lightning | 144 |
| brittanysandoval | Lightning | 20 |
| lindabeasley | Lightning | 13.29 |
| dsfhvyukrj | Lightning | 1.65 |
| Cindle | Lightning | 1.54 |
| kasong | Lightning | 1.54 |
| tlynch | Lightning | 0.04 |
| vargasjill | Ducks | 0.03 |
| jasmine11 | Lightning | 0.02 |
| walter00 | Lightning | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 5 at 8:00PM ET: If the Tampa Bay Lightning win, the market will resolve to “Lightning”. If the Anaheim Ducks win, the market will resolve to “Ducks”. If the game is not completed by January 12, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tb-ana-2025-01-05
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