Analytics
Resolved Lightning on 24 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Lightning at 68%. The Kraken side opened at 50% on 18 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 18 Feb 2025 to 24 Feb 2025, the highest close was 50% on 18 Feb 2025 and the lowest 31% on 23 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 31% on 23 Feb 2025. $35.37K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Kraken price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 18 Feb 2025 – 24 Feb 2025, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Kraken price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2025 | 50.0% |
| 24 Feb 2025 | 32.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RickyRat | Kraken | 103.35 |
| heywassup | Lightning | 0.04 |
| Monthly-Dishwasher | Lightning | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 23 at 6:00PM ET: If the Seattle Kraken win, the market will resolve to “Kraken”. If the Tampa Bay Lightning win, the market will resolve to “Lightning”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-sea-tb-2025-02-23
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