Analytics
Resolved Habs on 4 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Habs at 42.5%. The Habs side opened at 32.5% on 19 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 19 Apr 2026 to 4 May 2026, the highest close was 68.5% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 32.5% on 19 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 40.5% on 3 May 2026. $308.86K traded over the market's life.
72 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 5, 3:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Habs price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 19 Apr 2026 – 4 May 2026
| Observed | Habs price |
|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | 32.5% |
| 4 May 2026 | 42.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PaezPRO | Lightning | 5.03K |
| Trotz.85 | Lightning | 4.15K |
| derriver | Lightning | 4.13K |
| yukonboi | Lightning | 2.67K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Habs” if the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Playoffs First Round series between the Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning. This market will resolve to “Lightning” if the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Playoffs First Round series between the Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning. If a partial series is played and not completed by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-playoffs-who-will-win-series-canadiens-vs-lightning
| hubbleslake | Lightning | 1.92K |
| DOLLAR-PRINTER | Lightning | 1.48K |
| Puzzled-Policeman | Lightning | 1.06K |
| TTdes | Lightning | 660.12 |
| GUINESS123 | Lightning | 403.98 |
| boombioof | Lightning | 300 |
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