Analytics
Resolved Lightning on 6 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lightning at 80.5%. The Flyers side opened at 40.5% on 9 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 9 Sep 2026 to 6 Oct 2026, the highest close was 45.5% on 28 Sep 2026 and the lowest 19.5% on 6 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 19.5% on 6 Oct 2026. $115.49K traded over the market's life.
84 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 2:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Flyers price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 9 Sep 2026 – 6 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Flyers price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 40.5% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 19.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| royalestake | Flyers | 13K |
| NordhavenCap | Flyers | 10.66K |
| cocococococo | Flyers | 6.36K |
| Painfulvoid | Flyers | 5.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 5 at 7:00PM ET: If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-phi-tb-2026-10-05
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| JokerTheClown | Flyers | 3K |
| RunThePMarket | Flyers | 2K |
| cybercherry | Flyers | 1.7K |
| Whalerfan | Flyers | 1.57K |
| yakz | Flyers | 1.5K |
| DoctorManhattan | Flyers | 1.47K |
