Analytics
Resolved Lightning on 28 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lightning at 59.5%. The Senators side opened at 49.5% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 2 Mar 2026 to 28 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 40.5% on 28 Mar 2026. $1.48M traded over the market's life.
343 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 10:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Senators price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 28 Mar 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Senators price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 40.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CemeterySun | Senators | 258.43K |
| hugesportswhale | Senators | 99.55K |
| royalestake | Senators | 7.95K |
| roldy | Senators | 7.64K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 28 at 1:00PM ET: If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-ott-tb-2026-03-28
| Virtual-Bloodflow | Senators | 3.24K |
| cvzcxg599 | Senators | 2.46K |
| MidasYY | Senators | 2.2K |
| Lawful-Handgun | Senators | 1.39K |
| Rapid Horizon 6567 | Senators | 1.2K |
| Misty Oracle 2270 | Senators | 1.2K |
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