Analytics
Resolved Lightning on 30 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lightning at 64.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 4 Mar 2026 and the low 32% on 27 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 34% on 19 Mar 2026. $1.74M traded over the market's life.
170 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 31, 2:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 35.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| YT-JuicySlots | Predators | 55K |
| BoggsFromShawshank | Predators | 18.2K |
| Harmful-Wood | Predators | 17.58K |
| Saivestor | Predators | 8K |
| royalestake | Predators | 8K |
| roldy | Predators | 2K |
| Indigo Oracle FA63 | Predators | 1.2K |
| Amber Harbor 31DF | Predators | 1.15K |
| Bright Scout BAC5 | Predators | 1.13K |
| Jade Pulse 0FE2 | Predators | 1.12K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 29 at 5:00PM ET: If the Predators win, the market will resolve to "Predators". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-nsh-tb-2026-03-29
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