
Resolved Canadiens on 18 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Canadiens at 53.5%. Yes opened at 66.5% on 22 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 22 Dec 2025 to 18 Jan 2026, the highest close was 68.5% on 24 Dec 2025 and the lowest 46.5% on 17 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 57.5% on 13 Jan 2026. $1.79M traded over the market's life.
100 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 22 Dec 2025 – 18 Jan 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Dec 2025 | 66.5% |
| 18 Jan 2026 | 46.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cc0xb7511d7b0dcbb75fyhh0507ccc05326263 | Senators | 377.2K |
| 432614799197 | Senators | 193.34K |
| JamaicanBobsledTeam | Senators | 95.39K |
| royalestake | Senators |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 17 at 7:00PM ET: If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-mon-ott-2026-01-17
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| 9.43K |
| jizzbucket57 | Senators | 4.6K |
| Decisive-Jackfruit | Senators | 3.5K |
| RipNDip | Senators | 754.72 |
| Auronix | Senators | 650 |
| jghfg | Senators | 552.75 |
| montty | Senators | 549.69 |