Analytics
Resolved Wild on 20 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Wild at 50.5%. The Wild side opened at 50% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 20 Jan 2026, the highest close was 54% on 9 Jan 2026 and the lowest 46.5% on 18 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 46.5% on 18 Jan 2026. $1.4M traded over the market's life.
166 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Wild price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 20 Jan 2026, chart shows 40%–60%
| Observed | Wild price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 20 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cc0xb7511d7b0dcbb75fyhh0507ccc05326263 | Maple Leafs | 270.62K |
| JamaicanBobsledTeam | Maple Leafs | 174.03K |
| MMKing | Maple Leafs | 74K |
| Practical-Vase | Maple Leafs |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 19 at 7:30PM ET: If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-min-tor-2026-01-19
| 25K |
| Bienville | Maple Leafs | 18.18K |
| BoggsFromShawshank | Maple Leafs | 16.11K |
| 0x2E9821aF10fnztro1 | Maple Leafs | 11.29K |
| Saivestor | Maple Leafs | 8K |
| Chillinvillian | Maple Leafs | 7.03K |
| NebulaBite | Maple Leafs | 4.43K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
