Analytics
Resolved Under on 20 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Under at 36.5%. The Over side opened at 50% on 30 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 68.5% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 42.5% on 13 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 68.5% on 16 Oct 2026. $28.57 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 20, 3:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 20 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 63.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RadioFreeZerg | Over | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the fourth quarter of the NFL game between Commanders and 49ers, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Commanders and 49ers combine to score 11 or more points in the fourth quarter. If the combined fourth quarter total is less than 11, this market will resolve to "Under". Only points scored during that period count; overtime is not included. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-was-sf-2026-10-20
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