Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 14 Oct 2026 to 20 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 34% on 16 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 34% on 16 Oct 2026. $103.44 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 12:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 14 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Swift Signal F1D2 | No | 179.84 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NFL game between Commanders and 49ers, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Commanders and the 49ers each score at least one point in the first quarter. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only points scored during that period count; overtime is not included. All outcomes are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-was-sf-2026-10-20
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