Analytics
Resolved Under on 16 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Under at 57.5%. The Over side opened at 50% on 12 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 12 Oct 2026 to 16 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 12 Oct 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 13 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 21.5% on 13 Oct 2026. $783.54 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 16, 11:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 12 Oct 2026 – 16 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 42.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Shwaggins9 | Over | 336.65 |
| Elton1989 | Over | 226.67 |
| Crimson Beacon 5BB3 | Over | 163.03 |
| Emerald Pulse 1129 | Over | 66.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NFL football game between Seahawks and Broncos, scheduled for October 15 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Sam Darnold records more than 1.5 passing touchdowns in this game, and to "Under" if Sam Darnold records 1.5 or fewer passing touchdowns. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-sea-den-2026-10-16-player-props
| Misty Summit 957D | Over | 44.44 |
| scofield2 | Over | 35.07 |
| gbarrett75 | Over | 13.64 |
| koxma | Over | 8.49 |
| Solar Raven E21D | Over | 7.3 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
