Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 52.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 28 Sep 2026 and the low 24% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 24.5% on 30 Sep 2026. $2.63K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 1:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 28 Sep 2026 – 2 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ninjakajj | Yes | 500 |
| Stankela | Yes | 411.58 |
| Nbatt | Yes | 208.33 |
| Jade Quasar 091C | Yes | 157.92 |
| Cobalt Voyager 6655 | Yes | 142.86 |
| Iceington | Yes | 139.06 |
| Crimson Beacon 5BB3 | Yes | 71.22 |
| Keen Tide 0CF7 | Yes | 51.02 |
| Cobalt Pulse 4A3B | Yes | 46.94 |
| Money280 | Yes | 35 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NFL football game between Steelers and Browns, scheduled for October 1 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jaylen Warren scores 1 or more rushing or receiving touchdowns in this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-pit-cle-2026-10-02-player-props
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