Analytics
Resolved Patriots on 23 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Patriots at 75.5%. The Bears side opened at 50% on 7 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 7 Oct 2026 and the lowest 19% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 19% on 20 Oct 2026. $713.2 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 1:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Bears price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Bears price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| forecastication4 | Bears | 5.06 |
| jifidsisjdidf | Bears | 5 |
| Emerald Quasar F5E9 | Bears | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the first half of the NFL game between Patriots and Bears, scheduled for October 22 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bears" if the Bears outscore the Patriots by 10 or more points in the first half. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". Only points scored during that period count; overtime is not included. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-ne-chi-2026-10-23
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
