Analytics
Resolved Bears on 23 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Bears at 49.5%. The Bears side opened at 50% on 7 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 16 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 48% on 18 Oct 2026. $8.25K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 1:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Bears price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Bears price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Swift Signal F1D2 | Patriots | 783.87 |
| purplegatto | Patriots | 439 |
| Wrong-Pod-Muscle | Patriots | 293 |
| curie | Patriots | 48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the first half of the NFL game between Patriots and Bears, scheduled for October 22 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bears" if the Bears outscore the Patriots by 3 or more points in the first half. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". Only points scored during that period count; overtime is not included. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-ne-chi-2026-10-23
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| leectram | Patriots | 16.67 |
| ivanthegreat87 | Patriots | 9.8 |
| pcjones | Patriots | 8 |
| dips. | Patriots | 0.43 |
