Analytics
Resolved Over on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Over at 51.5%. The Over side opened at 51.5% on 28 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 70% on 24 Sep 2026 and the low 46.5% on 29 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 70% on 24 Sep 2026. $318.46K traded over the market's life.
68 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 8:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB · 38 points · 28 Aug 2026 – 4 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–80%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2026 | 51.5% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 51.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mooseborzoii | Under | 71.83K |
| texaskid | Under | 39.8K |
| primm | Under | 20.88K |
| Wordy-Littleneck | Under | 11.11K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Patriots and Bills combine to score 50 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 50, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-ne-buf-2026-10-04
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| hi774c | Under | 5.03K |
| justwins | Under | 2.95K |
| cm2897 | Under | 1.96K |
| Trotz.85 | Under | 1.6K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Under | 1.58K |
| kingflop | Under | 1.23K |
