Analytics
Resolved Patriots on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Patriots at 37%. The Patriots side opened at 50% on 29 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 29 Sep 2026 to 4 Oct 2026, the highest close was 65% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 37% on 4 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 37.5% on 3 Oct 2026. $1.47 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 12:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Patriots price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 29 Sep 2026 – 4 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Patriots price |
|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 37.0% |
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In the first quarter of the NFL game between Patriots and Bills, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Patriots" if the Patriots outscore the Bills in the first quarter. This market will resolve to "Bills" if the Bills outscore the Patriots in the first quarter. If both teams score the same number of points in the first quarter, this market will resolve 50-50. Only points scored during that period count; overtime is not included. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-ne-buf-2026-10-04
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