Analytics
Resolved Chiefs on 5 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Chiefs at 100%. The Chiefs side opened at 49.5% on 26 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 5 Oct 2026 and the low 49.5% on 26 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 100% on 5 Oct 2026. $5M traded over the market's life.
295 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 6, 12:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Chiefs price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 26 Aug 2026 – 5 Oct 2026
| Observed | Chiefs price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | 49.5% |
| 5 Oct 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Donkey14 | Raiders | 156.25K |
| AnonymousUsername | Raiders | 56.37K |
| kkookkoo | Raiders | 42.15K |
| Bozos14 | Raiders | 31.25K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 4:25PM ET: If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs". If Raiders wins, the market will resolve to "Raiders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-kc-lv-2026-10-04
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| ElsaMi | Raiders | 25.6K |
| playerI | Raiders | 24.34K |
| piggyery | Raiders | 17.63K |
| Laskhask | Chiefs | 14.45K |
| rebotsliaf | Raiders | 14.12K |
| chillhouse123 | Raiders | 10K |
