
Resolved Under on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Under at 53.5%. The Over side opened at 50% on 26 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 53.5% on 2 Oct 2026 and the low 31% on 27 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 49% on 28 Sep 2026. $232.8K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 6:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB · 40 points · 26 Aug 2026 – 4 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 46.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mastermoney | Over | 53.12K |
| jarosbill | Over | 17K |
| AnonymousUsername | Over | 4.54K |
| MAGATheeStallion | Over | 3.73K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Colts and Commanders combine to score 48 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 48, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-ind-was-2026-10-04
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| betabot | Over | 2.01K |
| itsonlyamatteroftime | Over | 1.96K |
| LuckyLoo | Over | 1.27K |
| AgriasOaks | Over | 1.05K |
| Barren-Morbidity | Over | 952.08 |
| Number39 | Over | 871.68 |