Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 52.5%. Yes opened at 79% on 23 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2025 to 26 Apr 2025, the highest close was 79% on 23 Apr 2025 and the lowest 32.5% on 24 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 32.5% on 24 Apr 2025. $2.63K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 27, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 23 Apr 2025 – 26 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2025 | 79.0% |
| 26 Apr 2025 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Neon Lynx 21FC | Yes | 1K |
| Ivory Signal B48B | Yes | 345 |
| Misty Pioneer BB19 | Yes | 230 |
| Cosmic Signal A640 | Yes | 135 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are more than 4.5 trades in the first round between April 22 and before the pick is used in the 2025 NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any trade involving a 2025 first-round pick will be counted as a trade. If the pick is traded multiple times before it is used, each individual trade will be counted separately. In the event that two first-round picks are traded for each other in the same transaction, it will count as only one trade. The resolution source will be official announcements made by the NFL, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-draft-3-trades-in-the-first-round
| Violet Ledger 174F | Yes | 125 |
| Indigo Harbor D5E8 | Yes | 100 |
| Neon Atlas 5B52 | Yes | 45 |
| Bright Meteor 44A9 | Yes | 15 |
| Lunar Tide 82E8 | Yes | 5 |
| ictest | Yes | 0.02 |
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