Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 40.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 18 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 18 Sep 2026 to 20 Sep 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 18 Sep 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 19 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 21.5% on 19 Sep 2026. $780.16 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 21, 3:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 18 Sep 2026 – 20 Sep 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | 49.5% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | 40.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| forecastication4 | No | 272.8 |
| sum42 | No | 65.21 |
| custalt | No | 65.18 |
| carelia | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NFL football game between Bengals and Texans, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ja'Marr Chase scores 1 or more rushing or receiving touchdowns in this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-cin-hou-2026-09-20-player-props
| 123zvzxcvzxcv | No | 42.21 |
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 34.79 |
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