Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 23 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026, the highest close was 25.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 17% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 17% on 24 Oct 2026. $33.62 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 2:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 25.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 17.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Whitelard | Yes | 20 |
| Royal Ledger 2870 | Yes | 13.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NFL football game between Bengals and Ravens, scheduled for October 25 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Derrick Henry scores the first rushing or receiving touchdown in this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. If the first touchdown is a passing touchdown, only the player credited with the receiving touchdown counts as the first touchdown scorer. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the "Other" outcome resolves "Yes".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-cin-bal-2026-10-25-first-td-scorer
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