Analytics
Resolved Bears on 14 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Bears at 29.5%. The Bears side opened at 33% on 7 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2025 to 14 Oct 2025, the highest close was 34% on 8 Oct 2025 and the lowest 29.5% on 14 Oct 2025. $3.29M traded over the market's life.
206 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 15, 8:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Bears price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 7 Oct 2025 – 14 Oct 2025, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Bears price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2025 | 33.0% |
| 14 Oct 2025 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| primm | Commanders | 125.7K |
| FavoritesOnly | Commanders | 96.8K |
| GlobalizeTheHorchata | Commanders | 46.72K |
| 11Black | Commanders | 33.75K |
| lavarball | Commanders | 30.47K |
| squarebettor | Commanders | 15K |
| aasas1 | Commanders | 11.12K |
| BABELCONSTEL | Commanders | 10.89K |
| WhiteLivesMatter | Commanders | 10K |
| Jolanda | Commanders | 8.03K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 13 at 8:15PM ET: If the Chicago Bears win, the market will resolve to “Bears”. If the Washington Commanders win, the market will resolve to “Commanders”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-chi-was-2025-10-13
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