
Resolved Raiders on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Raiders at 46%. The Bills side opened at 65% on 9 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 66.5% on 19 Sep 2026 and the low 50.5% on 11 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 50.5% on 11 Oct 2026. $78.72K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 6:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Bills price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 9 Sep 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Bills price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 65.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 54.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TAIWANNUMBERONE | Bills | 3.55K |
| 0x4f2 | Bills | 2.05K |
| torta.tech | Bills | 1.6K |
| asdfgijonrg | Bills | 1.03K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NFL football game between Bills and Raiders, scheduled for October 18 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if the Bills win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raiders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-buf-lv-2026-10-18
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| elenrom | Bills | 838.73 |
| jarosbill | Bills | 820 |
| barkov1 | Bills | 718.98 |
| Mocmoc11 | Bills | 714.5 |
| curie | Bills | 547.33 |
| degenm | Bills | 504.31 |