Analytics
Resolved Over on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Over at 28%. The Over side opened at 50% on 14 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 14 Oct 2026 and the low 28% on 15 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 28% on 15 Oct 2026. $79.48 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 8:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 14 Oct 2026 – 18 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | 28.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bettordude | Under | 69.48 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NFL football game between Bills and Raiders, scheduled for October 18 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Josh Allen records more than 1.5 passing touchdowns in this game, and to "Under" if Josh Allen records 1.5 or fewer passing touchdowns. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-buf-lv-2026-10-18-player-props
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