Analytics
Resolved Under on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Under at 54.5%. The Over side opened at 50% on 30 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 34.5% on 13 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 34.5% on 13 Oct 2026. $97.52 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 10:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 45.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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In the third quarter of the NFL game between Bills and Raiders, scheduled for October 18 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Bills and Raiders combine to score 11 or more points in the third quarter. If the combined third quarter total is less than 11, this market will resolve to "Under". Only points scored during that period count; overtime is not included. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-buf-lv-2026-10-18
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