Analytics
Resolved Under on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Under at 58.5%. The Over side opened at 50% on 30 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2026 to 17 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 41.5% on 17 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 42% on 14 Oct 2026. $103.48 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 9:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 41.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gekan10080 | Over | 103.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the first half of the NFL game between Bills and Raiders, scheduled for October 18 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Bills and Raiders combine to score 29 or more points in the first half. If the combined first half total is less than 29, this market will resolve to "Under". Only points scored during that period count; overtime is not included. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-buf-lv-2026-10-18
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