Analytics
Resolved Chiefs on 27 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Chiefs at 62%. The Bills side opened at 46% on 21 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 21 Jan 2025 to 27 Jan 2025, the highest close was 46.5% on 23 Jan 2025 and the lowest 38% on 27 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 38% on 27 Jan 2025. $5.26M traded over the market's life.
191 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Bills price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 21 Jan 2025 – 27 Jan 2025, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Bills price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2025 | 46.0% |
| 27 Jan 2025 | 38.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Big E | Bills | 100.83K |
| dpp | Bills | 65.22K |
| hachitov24 | Bills | 11.51K |
| alxmar | Bills | 10.48K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 26 at 6:30PM ET: If the Buffalo Bills win, the market will resolve to “Bills”. If the Kansas City Chiefs win, the market will resolve to “Chiefs”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-buf-kc-2025-01-26
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| pandaclub | Bills | 4.88K |
| JPMo | Bills | 4.26K |
| betking13 | Bills | 3.52K |
| lfgbills | Bills | 3.38K |
| GoPackGo | Bills | 2.33K |
| billionvegas66 | Bills | 2.13K |
