Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 47%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 15 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2026 to 18 Jan 2026, the highest close was 53% on 18 Jan 2026 and the lowest 43.5% on 17 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 53% on 18 Jan 2026. $3.04K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 15 Jan 2026 – 18 Jan 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
| 18 Jan 2026 | 53.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| taco441 | Yes | 600 |
| Beckitecture | Yes | 187.56 |
| theryguy80 | Yes | 112.36 |
| RDBL | Yes | 93.52 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 17 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Josh Allen scores a touchdown at any point during regulation or overtime. This market will resolve to "No" if Josh Allen does not score a touchdown during regulation or overtime. Qualifying Touchdowns: - A rushing touchdown by the player - A receiving touchdown caught by the player - A special teams touchdown (e.g. punt/kick return) Passing touchdowns do not qualify. Defensive touchdowns will be credited to the defensive unit, not individually credited to the player who scores. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take a snap, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com.
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-buf-den-2026-01-17
| Wee-Skull | Yes | 55.02 |
| LCVanBed | Yes | 37.74 |
| WPointwoes | Yes | 37.04 |
| Worldly-Maggot | Yes | 16.67 |
| Starchy-Moonscape | Yes | 10 |
| God7777 | Yes | 6.44 |
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