Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 49.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 15 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 15 Jan 2026 and the low 18% on 17 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 18% on 17 Jan 2026. $736.23 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 15 Jan 2026 – 18 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
| 18 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JeremyWade | Yes | 318.13 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| LCVanBed | Yes | 37.78 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 17 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bo Nix scores a touchdown at any point during regulation or overtime. This market will resolve to "No" if Bo Nix does not score a touchdown during regulation or overtime. Qualifying Touchdowns: - A rushing touchdown by the player - A receiving touchdown caught by the player - A special teams touchdown (e.g. punt/kick return) Passing touchdowns do not qualify. Defensive touchdowns will be credited to the defensive unit, not individually credited to the player who scores. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take a snap, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com.
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-buf-den-2026-01-17
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