Analytics
Resolved Bears on 18 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Bears at 56%. The Bills side opened at 50% on 14 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2025 to 18 Aug 2025, the highest close was 50% on 14 Aug 2025 and the lowest 43% on 16 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 43.5% on 15 Aug 2025. $68.43K traded over the market's life.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Bills price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 14 Aug 2025 – 18 Aug 2025, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Bills price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2025 | 50.0% |
| 18 Aug 2025 | 44.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Alert-Doubling | Bills | 21.87K |
| ElectroEater | Bills | 1.98K |
| St-Qc | Bills | 1.72K |
| JivyK | Bills | 1.09K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on the preseason NFL game between the Buffalo Bills and Chicago Bears, scheduled for August 17, 2025, at 8:00 PM ET. If the Buffalo Bills win, the market will resolve to “Bills”. If the Chicago Bears win, the market will resolve to “Bears”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve to the team officially listed as the winner on NFL.com. If NFL.com lists the result as a tie, the market will resolve 50–50.
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfl-buf-chi-2025-08-17
| formidable2458 | Bills | 815.95 |
| Usernombre | Bills | 656.19 |
| Bobloblaw5050 | Bills | 343.8 |
| Mer0ving1an | Bills | 322.94 |
| Felipeborg | Bills | 300 |
| catmania | Bills | 228.91 |
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