Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 8% on 11 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 174 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2024 to 1 Dec 2024, the highest close was 23.3% on 31 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 30 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 22.3% on 28 Oct 2024. $136.12K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 174 points, 11 Jun 2024 – 1 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2024 | 8.0% |
| 1 Dec 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 68.28K |
| Solar Scout 626F | Yes | 3.31K |
| Firedmocha | Yes | 714.43 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually upon agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas begins between November 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and November 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that both parties have agreed to a ceasefire.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-in
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| enochsmiles | Yes | 68.97 |
| nastrudomas | Yes | 68.49 |
| Rindli | Yes | 36.79 |
| Feisty-Canon | Yes | 21.61 |
| BidenBlast69 | Yes | 6.58 |
| Cobalt Harbor 0E10 | Yes | 4.22 |
| Yesman1 | Yes | 0.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
