Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 7% on 11 Jun 2024. Before it settled, the high was 56.4% on 13 Dec 2024 and the low 0.4% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 29.9% on 1 Sep 2024. $432.31K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 205 points, 11 Jun 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2024 | 7.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 68.28K |
| Solar Scout 626F | Yes | 3.76K |
| sinsirius | Yes | 100 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually upon agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas begins between December 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that both parties have agreed to a ceasefire.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-in
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Dabs | Yes | 97.56 |
| Pjoo | Yes | 33.33 |
| Rindli | Yes | 23.49 |
| Tyrus1985 | Yes | 9.62 |
| Mar1tn | Yes | 7.21 |
| wwsa | Yes | 3.91 |
| Delayed-Activist | Yes | 2.12 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
