Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

techActive

Closes Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Yes

14.3%

85.8%

Yes costs 14.25¢No costs 85.75¢

24h Volume

$4.8K

Total volume

$382.9K

Liquidity

$15.0K

Closes

Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBest AI Model

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Oct 28, 12:30 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Oct 28, 12:30 AM UTC	14.2%	14.2%
Oct 28, 12:00 AM UTC	19.9%	19.9%
Oct 25, 12:00 AM UTC	30.0%	30.0%
Oct 24, 12:00 AM UTC	25.8%	25.8%
Oct 21, 12:00 AM UTC	82.2%	82.2%
Oct 20, 12:00 AM UTC	74.5%	74.5%
Oct 19, 12:00 AM UTC	82.0%	82.0%
Oct 17, 12:00 AM UTC	82.0%	82.0%
Oct 16, 12:00 AM UTC	86.4%	86.4%
Oct 15, 12:00 AM UTC	84.9%	84.9%
Oct 14, 12:00 AM UTC	86.0%	86.0%
Oct 13, 12:00 AM UTC	81.9%	81.9%
Oct 12, 12:00 AM UTC	74.5%	74.5%
Oct 11, 12:00 AM UTC	72.0%	72.0%
Oct 10, 12:00 AM UTC	82.7%	82.7%
Oct 9, 12:00 AM UTC	84.8%	84.8%
Oct 8, 12:00 AM UTC	90.3%	90.3%
Oct 7, 12:00 AM UTC	90.8%	90.8%
Oct 6, 12:00 AM UTC	94.0%	94.0%
Oct 5, 12:00 AM UTC	94.3%	94.3%
Oct 4, 12:00 AM UTC	93.0%	93.0%
Oct 3, 12:00 AM UTC	92.5%	92.5%
Oct 2, 12:00 AM UTC	86.5%	86.5%
Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC	78.5%	78.5%
Sep 30, 12:00 AM UTC	75.0%	75.0%
Sep 29, 12:00 AM UTC	65.5%	65.5%
Sep 28, 12:00 AM UTC	63.5%	63.5%
Sep 27, 12:00 AM UTC	54.5%	54.5%
Sep 26, 12:00 AM UTC	56.0%	56.0%
Sep 25, 12:00 AM UTC	61.5%	61.5%
Sep 24, 12:00 AM UTC	57.0%	57.0%
Sep 23, 12:00 AM UTC	72.5%	72.5%
Sep 22, 12:00 AM UTC	78.5%	78.5%
Sep 21, 12:00 AM UTC	74.0%	74.0%
Sep 20, 12:00 AM UTC	70.0%	70.0%
Sep 19, 12:00 AM UTC	65.5%	65.5%
Sep 18, 12:00 AM UTC	67.0%	67.0%
Sep 17, 12:00 AM UTC	62.0%	62.0%
Sep 16, 12:00 AM UTC	55.5%	55.5%
Sep 15, 12:00 AM UTC	51.0%	51.0%
Sep 14, 12:00 AM UTC	56.0%	56.0%
Sep 13, 12:00 AM UTC	56.5%	56.5%
Sep 12, 12:00 AM UTC	57.0%	57.0%
Sep 11, 12:00 AM UTC	53.5%	53.5%
Sep 10, 12:00 AM UTC	56.0%	56.0%
Sep 9, 12:00 AM UTC	49.0%	49.0%
Sep 8, 12:00 AM UTC	42.5%	42.5%
Sep 7, 12:00 AM UTC	38.5%	38.5%
Sep 6, 12:00 AM UTC	56.0%	56.0%
Sep 5, 12:00 AM UTC	19.0%	19.0%
Sep 4, 12:00 AM UTC	16.5%	16.5%

Topic room

Read this market in context

Best AI Model oddsWhich company will have the best AI model at the end of this month?

What to watch in Best AI Model

Release timing: a flagship model shipped shortly before a deadline usually takes the top rank for it
Changes to the leaderboard's method or categories, which the rules may or may not follow
Compute deals, chip supply and data-centre capacity announced by each lab

Research behind the numbers

Analytics

Date

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Oct 28, 12:30 AM UTC

14.2%

Oct 28, 12:00 AM UTC

19.9%

Oct 25, 12:00 AM UTC

30.0%

Oct 24, 12:00 AM UTC

25.8%

Oct 21, 12:00 AM UTC

82.2%

Oct 20, 12:00 AM UTC

74.5%

Oct 19, 12:00 AM UTC

82.0%

Oct 17, 12:00 AM UTC

82.0%

Oct 16, 12:00 AM UTC

86.4%

Oct 15, 12:00 AM UTC

84.9%

Oct 14, 12:00 AM UTC

86.0%

Oct 13, 12:00 AM UTC

81.9%

Oct 12, 12:00 AM UTC

74.5%

Oct 11, 12:00 AM UTC

72.0%

Oct 10, 12:00 AM UTC

82.7%

Oct 9, 12:00 AM UTC

84.8%

Oct 8, 12:00 AM UTC

90.3%

Oct 7, 12:00 AM UTC

90.8%

Oct 6, 12:00 AM UTC

94.0%

Oct 5, 12:00 AM UTC

94.3%

Oct 4, 12:00 AM UTC

93.0%

Oct 3, 12:00 AM UTC

92.5%

Oct 2, 12:00 AM UTC

86.5%

Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC

78.5%

Sep 30, 12:00 AM UTC

75.0%

Sep 29, 12:00 AM UTC

65.5%

Sep 28, 12:00 AM UTC

63.5%

Sep 27, 12:00 AM UTC

54.5%

Sep 26, 12:00 AM UTC

56.0%

Sep 25, 12:00 AM UTC

61.5%

Sep 24, 12:00 AM UTC

57.0%

Sep 23, 12:00 AM UTC

72.5%

Sep 22, 12:00 AM UTC

78.5%

Sep 21, 12:00 AM UTC

74.0%

Sep 20, 12:00 AM UTC

70.0%

Sep 19, 12:00 AM UTC

65.5%

Sep 18, 12:00 AM UTC

67.0%

Sep 17, 12:00 AM UTC

62.0%

Sep 16, 12:00 AM UTC

55.5%

Sep 15, 12:00 AM UTC

51.0%

Sep 14, 12:00 AM UTC

56.0%

Sep 13, 12:00 AM UTC

56.5%

Sep 12, 12:00 AM UTC

57.0%

Sep 11, 12:00 AM UTC

53.5%

Sep 10, 12:00 AM UTC

56.0%

Sep 9, 12:00 AM UTC

49.0%

Sep 8, 12:00 AM UTC

42.5%

Sep 7, 12:00 AM UTC

38.5%

Sep 6, 12:00 AM UTC

56.0%

Sep 5, 12:00 AM UTC

19.0%

Sep 4, 12:00 AM UTC

16.5%