Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?

techActive

Closes Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Yes

94.5%

5.5%

Yes costs 94.55¢No costs 5.45¢

24h Volume

$3.5K

Total volume

$43.5K

Liquidity

$8.1K

Closes

Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBest AI Model

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Oct 27, 9:05 PM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Oct 27, 9:05 PM UTC	94.5%	94.5%
Oct 25, 12:00 AM UTC	93.8%	93.8%
Oct 21, 12:00 AM UTC	97.0%	97.0%
Oct 20, 12:00 AM UTC	97.9%	97.9%
Oct 19, 12:00 AM UTC	97.9%	97.9%
Oct 17, 12:00 AM UTC	98.5%	98.5%
Oct 16, 12:00 AM UTC	98.7%	98.7%
Oct 14, 12:00 AM UTC	96.5%	96.5%
Oct 13, 12:00 AM UTC	95.5%	95.5%
Oct 12, 12:00 AM UTC	95.3%	95.3%
Oct 11, 12:00 AM UTC	96.0%	96.0%
Oct 10, 12:00 AM UTC	96.9%	96.9%
Oct 7, 12:00 AM UTC	97.5%	97.5%
Oct 6, 12:00 AM UTC	98.8%	98.8%
Oct 5, 12:00 AM UTC	98.2%	98.2%
Oct 4, 12:00 AM UTC	98.2%	98.2%
Oct 3, 12:00 AM UTC	97.5%	97.5%
Oct 2, 12:00 AM UTC	95.0%	95.0%
Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC	94.0%	94.0%
Sep 30, 12:00 AM UTC	94.0%	94.0%
Sep 29, 12:00 AM UTC	94.0%	94.0%
Sep 28, 12:00 AM UTC	94.5%	94.5%
Sep 27, 12:00 AM UTC	91.5%	91.5%
Sep 26, 12:00 AM UTC	92.5%	92.5%
Sep 25, 12:00 AM UTC	91.5%	91.5%
Sep 24, 12:00 AM UTC	91.5%	91.5%
Sep 23, 12:00 AM UTC	91.5%	91.5%
Sep 22, 12:00 AM UTC	91.0%	91.0%
Sep 21, 12:00 AM UTC	89.5%	89.5%
Sep 20, 12:00 AM UTC	90.0%	90.0%
Sep 19, 12:00 AM UTC	91.0%	91.0%
Sep 18, 12:00 AM UTC	90.0%	90.0%
Sep 17, 12:00 AM UTC	89.5%	89.5%
Sep 16, 12:00 AM UTC	89.0%	89.0%
Sep 15, 12:00 AM UTC	88.0%	88.0%
Sep 14, 12:00 AM UTC	88.5%	88.5%
Sep 13, 12:00 AM UTC	88.5%	88.5%
Sep 12, 12:00 AM UTC	86.5%	86.5%
Sep 11, 12:00 AM UTC	86.5%	86.5%
Sep 10, 12:00 AM UTC	87.0%	87.0%
Sep 9, 12:00 AM UTC	86.5%	86.5%
Sep 8, 12:00 AM UTC	85.0%	85.0%
Sep 7, 12:00 AM UTC	78.5%	78.5%
Sep 6, 12:00 AM UTC	81.5%	81.5%
Sep 5, 12:00 AM UTC	59.5%	59.5%
Sep 4, 12:00 AM UTC	59.0%	59.0%

Topic room

Read this market in context

Best AI Model oddsWhich company will have the best AI model at the end of this month?

What to watch in Best AI Model

Release timing: a flagship model shipped shortly before a deadline usually takes the top rank for it
Changes to the leaderboard's method or categories, which the rules may or may not follow
Compute deals, chip supply and data-centre capacity announced by each lab

Research behind the numbers

Analytics

Date

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Oct 27, 9:05 PM UTC

94.5%

Oct 25, 12:00 AM UTC

93.8%

Oct 21, 12:00 AM UTC

97.0%

Oct 20, 12:00 AM UTC

97.9%

Oct 19, 12:00 AM UTC

97.9%

Oct 17, 12:00 AM UTC

98.5%

Oct 16, 12:00 AM UTC

98.7%

Oct 14, 12:00 AM UTC

96.5%

Oct 13, 12:00 AM UTC

95.5%

Oct 12, 12:00 AM UTC

95.3%

Oct 11, 12:00 AM UTC

96.0%

Oct 10, 12:00 AM UTC

96.9%

Oct 7, 12:00 AM UTC

97.5%

Oct 6, 12:00 AM UTC

98.8%

Oct 5, 12:00 AM UTC

98.2%

Oct 4, 12:00 AM UTC

98.2%

Oct 3, 12:00 AM UTC

97.5%

Oct 2, 12:00 AM UTC

95.0%

Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC

94.0%

Sep 30, 12:00 AM UTC

94.0%

Sep 29, 12:00 AM UTC

94.0%

Sep 28, 12:00 AM UTC

94.5%

Sep 27, 12:00 AM UTC

91.5%

Sep 26, 12:00 AM UTC

92.5%

Sep 25, 12:00 AM UTC

91.5%

Sep 24, 12:00 AM UTC

91.5%

Sep 23, 12:00 AM UTC

91.5%

Sep 22, 12:00 AM UTC

91.0%

Sep 21, 12:00 AM UTC

89.5%

Sep 20, 12:00 AM UTC

90.0%

Sep 19, 12:00 AM UTC

91.0%

Sep 18, 12:00 AM UTC

90.0%

Sep 17, 12:00 AM UTC

89.5%

Sep 16, 12:00 AM UTC

89.0%

Sep 15, 12:00 AM UTC

88.0%

Sep 14, 12:00 AM UTC

88.5%

Sep 13, 12:00 AM UTC

88.5%

Sep 12, 12:00 AM UTC

86.5%

Sep 11, 12:00 AM UTC

86.5%

Sep 10, 12:00 AM UTC

87.0%

Sep 9, 12:00 AM UTC

86.5%

Sep 8, 12:00 AM UTC

85.0%

Sep 7, 12:00 AM UTC

78.5%

Sep 6, 12:00 AM UTC

81.5%

Sep 5, 12:00 AM UTC

59.5%

Sep 4, 12:00 AM UTC

59.0%