Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Feb 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 24 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 24 Feb 2024 to 26 Feb 2024, the highest close was 21.5% on 24 Feb 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 26 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 2.5% on 25 Feb 2024. $60.95K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 27, 3:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 24 Feb 2024 – 26 Feb 2024, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2024 | 21.5% |
| 26 Feb 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| drinking | Yes | 2.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On February 23, 2024 it was reported that the military is tracking an unidentified high-altitude balloon over the western part of the United States: (https://www.cbsnews.com/news/military-tracking-balloon-western-us-military/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the new "mystery balloon" reported floating over US territory is shot out of the sky by any means by Sunday, February 25, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by the government of the United States of America, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-mystery-balloon-shot-down-by-sunday
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