Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 131 daily closes on record from 21 Nov 2025 to 1 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 67.5% on 25 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 31 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 48.5% on 3 Jan 2026. $1.48K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 131 points, 21 Nov 2025 – 1 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.2% |
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-half-life-game-by
| Yes |
| 10 |
| Sparkling-Rope | Yes | 9.94 |
| 25oodksmsss09 | Yes | 7.24 |
| Hinshaw | Yes | 5 |
| 5446735 | Yes | 5 |
| rikitikitaki | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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