Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 53.5% on 21 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 63% on 3 Dec 2025 and the low 0.4% on 28 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 47.8% on 25 Dec 2025. $10.68K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 21 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | 53.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GUADANHAO | Yes | 2K |
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 1K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 516 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 397 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-half-life-game-by
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 226 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 185 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 142 |
| mumu456 | Yes | 142 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 104 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 90.41 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page