Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 53% on 18 Mar 2026 and the low 16% on 22 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 16% on 22 Mar 2026. $15.12K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 28, 1:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 10 points · 17 Mar 2026 – 27 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 42.5% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 25.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bakedapeyachtclub | Yes | 765 |
| decisionfirst | Yes | 694.54 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Flimsy-Feel | Yes | 381.08 |
| 1f2da719e0b226d9d91664b0cfe0659 | Yes | 74.09 |
| Self-Assured-Complex | Yes | 50 |
| weekendcollector | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| tbyrd2 | Yes | 41.82 |
| jackluu | Yes | 33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any team that is seeded 10-16 advances to the Elite Eight of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or Elite Eight matchups have otherwise not been finalized within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-tournament-double-digit-seed-to-make-quarterfinals
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