Analytics
Resolved Cleveland Cavaliers on 14 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Cleveland Cavaliers at 52%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 9 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 14 Jul 2026, the highest close was 58.5% on 11 Jul 2026 and the lowest 45.5% on 12 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 45.5% on 12 Jul 2026. $63.78K traded over the market's life.
120 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 15, 2:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 14 Jul 2026, chart shows 40%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 49.5% |
| 14 Jul 2026 | 48.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| megacapper | Miami Heat | 20K |
| ElectroEater | Miami Heat | 7K |
| Waitimcooking | Miami Heat | 5.81K |
| Complicated-Chassis | Miami Heat | 3.2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NBA Summer League game, scheduled for July 13 at 8:00PM ET: If the Cleveland Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland Cavaliers". If the Miami Heat win, the market will resolve to "Miami Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nbasl-cle-mia-2026-07-13
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Usernombre | Miami Heat | 1.5K |
| youyiC | Miami Heat | 1.12K |
| Shawnyou | Miami Heat | 500 |
| nepalesespacecake | Miami Heat | 300 |
| nottolost | Miami Heat | 300 |
| Lechanga | Miami Heat | 200 |
