Analytics
Resolved Thunder on 4 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Thunder at 78.5%. Yes opened at 29% on 29 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 29.5% on 3 Feb 2026 and the low 21.5% on 4 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 21.5% on 4 Feb 2026. $2.26M traded over the market's life.
257 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 5, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 29 Jan 2026 – 4 Feb 2026, chart shows 15%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2026 | 29.0% |
| 4 Feb 2026 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Countryside | Magic | 90.22K |
| ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | Magic | 49.41K |
| DrPufferfish | Magic | 45.55K |
| Terrible-Hamburger | Magic | 41.98K |
| E1prof | Magic | 30.01K |
| MikelenoskiSide2 | Magic | 30K |
| abUser123 | Magic | 20K |
| knedloveprovelo | Magic | 15.37K |
| mclaren420 | Magic | 15K |
| c4c4 | Magic | 11.61K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 3 at 8:00PM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-orl-okc-2026-02-03
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