Analytics
Resolved Magic on 29 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Magic at 41.5%. The Magic side opened at 29% on 23 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 43.5% on 28 Jan 2026 and the low 29% on 23 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 36.5% on 26 Jan 2026. $1.14M traded over the market's life.
460 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 30, 4:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Magic price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 23 Jan 2026 – 29 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 25%–50%
| Observed | Magic price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | 29.0% |
| 29 Jan 2026 | 41.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ball52759 | Heat | 155.17K |
| laodi666 | Heat | 17.54K |
| Meadowbrookz | Heat | 16.95K |
| MikelenoskiSide2 | Heat | 10.01K |
| Harmful-Wood | Heat | 10K |
| wetards | Heat | 10K |
| IAmHomelessNow | Heat | 10K |
| mmmmmmh | Heat | 10K |
| Himithy123 | Heat | 5K |
| Saivestor | Heat | 4K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 28 at 7:30PM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-orl-mia-2026-01-28
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